#SECUREBLACKSEA

The Black Sea Region (BSR) has long been a focal point of geopolitical competition, shaped by historical rivalries, strategic interests, and evolving security dynamics. In recent years, the region has witnessed growing instability due to escalating tensions, hybrid threats, and the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. These developments have not only disrupted regional security but have also posed broader challenges to the European and transatlantic security order. Given NATO’s strategic interest in the region, a comprehensive reassessment of security frameworks is necessary to address emerging threats and enhance regional stability.

SecureBlackSea seeks to examine and propose a future security architecture for the wider Black Sea Region, aligning with NATO’s evolving strategic priorities. Through an in-depth analysis of existing security structures, regional conflicts, and cooperation mechanisms, it aims to provide evidence-based insights into key threats and potential policy responses. A particular focus will be placed on the intersection of conventional military threats, hybrid warfare, economic security, and geopolitical rivalries, recognizing the complex and multi-dimensional nature of regional security challenges.

The project activities include: expert workshops, field research, and data-driven assessments of security risks. It will evaluate the effectiveness of existing regional security frameworks and NATO’s role in shaping stability in the BSR. In collaboration with policymakers, security experts, and academic institutions, the project team will facilitate policy dialogues and strategic foresight discussions to identify pathways for strengthening regional security cooperation. These efforts will result in the development of comprehensive policy recommendations aimed at enhancing institutional resilience and fostering a more cooperative security environment.

The expected outcomes of this initiative include a thorough assessment of regional security threats, a set of actionable policy recommendations, and strengthened dialogue between NATO and regional stakeholders. By producing analytical reports and policy briefs, the project will contribute to an informed security discourse and provide practical solutions for mitigating risks in the region. Additionally, by fostering collaboration between academic and policy communities, it will support long-term strategic planning and resilience-building efforts.

Ultimately, this project aspires to provide a timely and in-depth examination of the evolving security landscape in the Black Sea Region. By addressing both traditional and non-traditional security challenges, it will offer valuable insights that can guide NATO’s strategic engagement in the region. Through rigorous analysis and stakeholder engagement, it aims to contribute to a more stable, secure, and cooperative Black Sea security environment in the face of emerging geopolitical complexities.

Project Team

Dr. Mustafa Aydın
Stephanie Fenkart
Dr. Ayça Ergun
Dr. Dimitrios Triantaphyllou
Dr. Nazlı Kazanoğlu

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